Viendo archivo del lunes, 14 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 227 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED, THE LARGEST BEING A C8/1F FROM REGION 9126 (N06W84) AT
14/0508UT. REGION 9129 (S06E48) PRODUCED A C5/1F AT 14/0742UT.
REGION 9125 (N25E15) REMAINS THE LARGEST AND MOST COMPLEX SPOT
GROUP. IT HAS GROWN IN SIZE AND NUMBER OF SPOTS SINCE YESTERDAY,
HOWEVER IT HAS ONLY PRODUCED ISOLATED OPTICAL SUBFLARES DURING THE
PERIOD. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED: 9132 (N23E52) AND 9133
(S09E03).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 13/2100Z TO 14/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 AUG a 17 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 AUG 190 Previsto 15 AUG-17 AUG 190/185/180 Media de 90 Días 14 AUG 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 AUG 016/016 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 AUG-17 AUG 010/015-015/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 AUG a 17 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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