Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 julio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jul 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JUL 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. NUMEROUS C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED, WITH THE LARGEST A C6/1N AT 0734Z FROM REGION 9070
(N19W11). REGION 9073 (S19E04) GREW SUBSTANTIALLY AND PRODUCED
FREQUENT SUBFLARES. REGION 9071 (N22W62), THE SITE OF 2 M-CLASS
FLARES YESTERDAY, WAS QUIET. THERE ARE 12 SPOTTED REGIONS WITH THE
MOST RECENT ADDITION BEING REGION 9078 (S13E57).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. REGIONS 9070 AND 9073 ARE THE PRIME SITES FOR CONTINUED
FLARE ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE NEXT 2 DAYS.
A DISTURBANCE, DUE TO THE HALO CME THAT LEFT THE SUN ON 07 JULY, IS
EXPECTED ON 11 JULY. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD PREVAIL
AT THAT TIME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JUL a 11 JUL
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JUL 210 Previsto 09 JUL-11 JUL 215/220/225 Media de 90 Días 08 JUL 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUL 006/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUL 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUL-11 JUL 010/012-010/015-025/028
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JUL a 11 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 60% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 40% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
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