Viendo archivo del miércoles, 21 junio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jun 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 JUN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 9042 (N23W38)
PRODUCED TODAY'S ONLY M-CLASS EVENT, AN M1/SF AT 0929Z. THE REGION
PRODUCED ADDITIONAL, FREQUENT C-CLASS EVENTS, BUT APPEARED TO BE IN
AN OVERALL STATE OF GRADUAL DECLINE. REGION 9046 (N21W07) CONTINUES
TO BE THE LARGEST GROUP ON THE DISK BUT WAS RELATIVELY STABLE.
REGIONS 9050 (S08W48) AND 9052 (S26W52) SHOWED STEADY SLOW GROWTH,
BUT WERE ALSO STABLE. NEW REGIONS 9055 (N19E70) AND 9056 (S15E68)
ROTATED INTO VIEW TODAY AS SIMPLE H-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUPS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS. REGIONS 9042 AND 9046 CONTINUE
TO BE THE MOST LIKELY SOURCES FOR POSSIBLE M-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 JUN a 24 JUN
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 JUN 188 Previsto 22 JUN-24 JUN 185/185/180 Media de 90 Días 21 JUN 186
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 JUN 009/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 JUN 005/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 JUN-24 JUN 010/010-010/015-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 JUN a 24 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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