Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 mayo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 May 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 147 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 MAY 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL SMALL C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED IN A VARIETY OF REGIONS. REGION 9002 (N20W79) WAS THE MOST
ACTIVE AREA ON THE VISIBLE DISK. NEW REGIONS 9018 (S20W11) AND 9019
(S34W38) EMERGED ON THE DISK.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AND THERE IS A
CHANCE OF A LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO MINOR STORM LEVELS. THE
MOST DISTURBED PERIODS OCCURRED FROM 26/06-12UT. THE GREATER THAN 2
MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. INCREASED ACTIVITY LEVELS ARE
POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD DUE TO WELL POSITIONED
CORONAL HOLES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 MAY a 29 MAY
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 MAY 168 Previsto 27 MAY-29 MAY 160/150/145 Media de 90 Días 26 MAY 196
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 MAY 023/031 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 MAY 020/023 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 MAY-29 MAY 010/012-010/015-010/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 MAY a 29 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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