Viendo archivo del sábado, 1 abril 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Apr 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 092 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 APR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY DROPPED TO A LOW LEVEL. SEVERAL MID TO
HIGH C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED. REGION 8924 (N10W54) PRODUCED A C8/SF
AT 01/0349Z AND A C8/1N AT 01/0744Z. REGION 8939 (N23E44) GENERATED
A C6/SF AT 01/1151Z AND A C8/SF AT 01/1759Z. OUTSIDE OF SLIGHT
GROWTH IN REGION 8924, NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE NOTED IN THESE OR
OTHER REGIONS DURING THE PERIOD. A SMALL FILAMENT NEAR N45E20 FADED
DURING THE PERIOD.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE GENERALLY
MODERATE. SEVERAL REGIONS ARE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING OCCASIONAL
M-CLASS EVENTS. THERE IS A SMALL POSSIBILITY OF A MAJOR FLARE DURING
THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS
OCCURRED. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY WAS SLOWLY INCREASING TOWARD THE END
OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED
ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME. THERE IS A SLIGHT
POSSIBILITY OF A SOLAR PROTON EVENT DURING THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 APR a 04 APR
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 APR 223 Previsto 02 APR-04 APR 223/223/220 Media de 90 Días 01 APR 182
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 MAR 018/019 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 APR 012/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 APR-04 APR 008/010-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 APR a 04 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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