Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 marzo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Mar 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 090 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 MAR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8936 (S16E58)
PRODUCED AN IMPULSIVE M3/1N EVENT AT 30/1607Z. THE TOTAL DURATION
OF THE M3 EVENT WAS ONLY 14 MINUTES. REGION 8936 ALSO PRODUCED AN
M1/SF EVENT EARLIER AT 30/1245Z. AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED M1 X-RAY
EVENT OCCURRED AT 30/0714Z. SEVERAL OTHER MINOR C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD FROM REGION 8936 AND 8925 (S18W20).
REGION 8924 (N10W28) AND 8925 EACH BECAME MORE MAGNETICALLY COMPLEX
WITH A BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION. FURTHER GROWTH WAS
OBSERVED IN REGION 8936. FOUR NEW REGIONS, 8938 (S07E56), 8939
(N22E72), 8940 (N13E65), AND 8941 (N25E54) WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
MODERATE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 MAR a 02 APR
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 MAR 206 Previsto 31 MAR-02 APR 205/200/195 Media de 90 Días 30 MAR 180
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 MAR 009/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 MAR 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 MAR-02 APR 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 MAR a 02 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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