Viendo archivo del viernes, 10 marzo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Mar 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 070 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 MAR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT LOW LEVELS WITH NUMEROUS
C-CLASS SUBFLARES OBSERVED. REGION 8906 (S16E44) CONTINUED AS THE
LARGEST OF THE VISIBLE SPOT GROUPS, BUT SHOWED NO SIGNIFICANT
CHANGES. IT PRODUCED SEVERAL C-CLASS SUBFLARES, THE LARGEST OF WHICH
WAS A C7/SF AT 10/1758UT. REGION 8900 (S16W63) CONTINUED TO DECAY
AND PRODUCED ISOLATED C-CLASS SUBFLARES. THE REMAINING REGIONS WERE
STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AT
LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS. ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ACTIVITY WAS AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 MAR a 13 MAR
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 MAR 203 Previsto 11 MAR-13 MAR 200/195/180 Media de 90 Días 10 MAR 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 MAR 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 MAR 007/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 MAR-13 MAR 007/007-007/007-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 MAR a 13 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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