Viendo archivo del domingo, 23 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 023 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE ARE TEN NUMBERED
REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK AND ALL REMAIN STABLE. TWO NEW REGIONS
WERE NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 8842 (S17W10) AND 8843 (N14E14).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT FROM REGION 8831
(S17W62) OR 8837 (S08W91).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS DURING THE
PERIOD. THE SOLAR WIND SPEED HAS AVERAGED AROUND 380 KM/S. THE BZ
COMPONENT CONTINUED NEGATIVE (SOUTHWARD) UNTIL 23/0217Z WHEN IT TOOK
A SHARP POSITIVE (NORTHWARD) DIRECTION.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 JAN a 26 JAN
| Clase M | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 JAN 141 Previsto 24 JAN-26 JAN 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 23 JAN 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 JAN 011/019 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 JAN 020/025 PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 JAN-26 JAN 010/015-005/007-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 JAN a 26 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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