Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 enero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 007 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 JAN 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED LOW. OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED WITH THE LARGEST A C5 AT 1740Z. THIS EVENT APPEARED TO
ORIGINATE FROM AN AREA NEAR THE SOUTHEAST LIMB SIMULTANEOUSLY WITH A
SF FLARE FROM REGION 8819 (N10W25). REGION 8819 WAS BY FAR THE MOST
ACTIVE DISK REGION AND THE SOUTHEAST LIMB CONTINUED TO BE THE SITE
OF SURGING THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TWO RETURNING ACTIVE REGIONS ARE
DUE THERE IN THE NEXT TWO DAYS. ELSEWHERE, ONE NEW REGION WAS
ASSIGNED, 8822 (N16E03).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
THE PROSPECTS OF M-LEVEL EVENTS MAY INCREASE, PENDING WHAT RETURNS
IN THE SOUTHEAST.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ELECTRON FLUX ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS AROUND 1400Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED THROUGHOUT THE INTERVAL. ACTIVITY MAY
INCREASE DURING THE LATTER HALF AS A CORONAL HOLE MOVES INTO A MORE
FAVORABLE POSITION.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 JAN a 10 JAN
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 JAN 150 Previsto 08 JAN-10 JAN 155/160/165 Media de 90 Días 07 JAN 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 JAN 015/017 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 JAN 012/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 JAN-10 JAN 010/010-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 JAN a 10 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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