Viendo archivo del domingo, 1 agosto 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Aug 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 213 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 AUG 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. SEVERAL C-CLASS FLARES OCCURRED
THIS PERIOD WITH THE LARGEST FROM REGION 8645 (S25W29) WHICH
PRODUCED A C9/SF AT 01/0645Z. THIS REGION IS AS AN F-TYPE GROUP AND
CONTINUES TO GROW IN SUNSPOT AREA WITH AN AVERAGE OF 43 SPOTS
REPORTED FOR THE DAY. REGION 8651 (N24E09) REMAINS AN E-TYPE GROUP
AND THE LARGEST REGION ON THE SOLAR DISK WITH AN AVERAGE OF 58
SPOTS. TWO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY AS 8655 (N25E38) AND 8656
(N18E34).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE WITH A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED X-CLASS EVENT CONSIDERING
THE CURRENT REGIONS ON THE SUN.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS. ACTIVE TO
MINOR STORM CONDITIONS PREVAILED THROUGH 01/0600Z THEN CHANGING TO
QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 AUG a 04 AUG
| Clase M | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 AUG 216 Previsto 02 AUG-04 AUG 200/195/190 Media de 90 Días 01 AUG 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 JUL 021/021 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 AUG 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 AUG-04 AUG 005/007-005/007-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 AUG a 04 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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