Viendo archivo del martes, 6 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 187 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A FEW LOW C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD. FOUR NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY AS
REGION 8622 (S31W20), REGION 8623 (N26W11), REGION 8624 (N25E26) AND
REGION 8625 (S20E76).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE WITH ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARES POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. A SUDDEN IMPULSE OF 5
NT WAS OBSERVED AT 06/1508Z. THE LIKELY SOURCE OF THIS DISTURBANCE
WAS A CORONAL MASS EJECTION/PARTIAL HALO OFF THE WEST LIMB LATE ON 3
JULY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE NIGHTTIME SECTORS FOR DAY ONE OF THE
FORECAST.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 JUL a 09 JUL
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 JUL 168 Previsto 07 JUL-09 JUL 160/160/155 Media de 90 Días 06 JUL 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 JUL 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 JUL 010/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 JUL-09 JUL 008/008-005/008-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 JUL a 09 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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