Viendo archivo del lunes, 31 mayo 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 31 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 151 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 MAY 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT OF THE PERIOD WAS AN OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED C8 X-RAY BURST THAT OCCURRED AT 30/2345Z. RECENT MAGNETIC MAP ANALYSIS MADE IT CLEAR THAT REGION 8557 (S30E21) AND REGION 8560 (S24E22) SHOULD BE COMBINED AS A SINGLE BIPOLE GROUP. THEY HAVE BEEN COMBINED AS REGION 8557. THIS REGION DID PRODUCE A C4/SF AT 31/0810Z. REGION 8552 (N18W32) PRODUCED AN IMPULSIVE C2/SF WITH A TYPE II SWEEP AND A MINOR MULTI-FREQUENCY RADIO BURST AT 31/0940Z. NEW REGION 8562 (S15E22) EMERGED RAPIDLY IN THE LAST 24 HOURS AND HAS ALREADY PRODUCED LOW C-CLASS FLARING. NEW REGION 8563 (S25E63) WAS ALSO NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. BOTH REGION 8557 AND 8562 WILL LIKELY PRODUCE C-CLASS FLARING AND THEIR PROXIMITY TO EACH OTHER COULD RESULT IN AN M-CLASS EVENT. REGION 8552 AND 8558 (N16E30) ALSO HAVE POTENTIAL FOR C-CLASS FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 JUN a 03 JUN
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       31 MAY 165
  Previsto   01 JUN-03 JUN  165/165/165
  Media de 90 Días        31 MAY 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 MAY  003/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 MAY  005/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 JUN-03 JUN  008/010-008/010-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 JUN a 03 JUN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%25%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

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