Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 mayo 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 May 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 144 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 MAY 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE PERIOD WAS CHARACTERIZED BY
A NUMBER OF SMALL C-CLASS X-RAY FLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A C3.3 FROM
NEWLY ASSIGNED REGION 8552 (N20E68). REPEATING THE TREND OF
YESTERDAY, REGIONS 8550 (S14E17), 8551 (N32E25) AND 8552 WERE THE
MOST ACTIVE. REGION 8550 CONTINUES TO DISPLAY A COMPLICATED
INVERSION LINE WITH A POSSIBLE MAGNETIC DELTA CONFIGURATION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW WITH A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS X-RAY EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ONE 3 HOUR
PERIOD OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 MAY a 27 MAY
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 MAY 137 Previsto 25 MAY-27 MAY 140/145/145 Media de 90 Días 24 MAY 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 23 MAY 008/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 24 MAY 008/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 25 MAY-27 MAY 008/012-008/012-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 MAY a 27 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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