Viendo archivo del miércoles, 25 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 329 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS AT LOW LEVELS. REGION 8395 (N17E68)
PRODUCED A C8/1F FLARE AT 24/2215Z WITH AN ASSOCIATED TYPE II SWEEP.
THE TYPE II SPEED WAS ESTIMATED AT 800 KM/S. AN OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED C6 X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED AT 25/1403Z WITH AN ASSOCIATED
TYPE II SWEEP; THE SPEED WAS ESTIMATED AT 1000 KM/S. BOTH REGIONS
8395 AND 8393 (S18E50) PRODUCED NUMEROUS LOW LEVEL C-CLASS X-RAY
FLARES. OBSERVATIONS REPORTED MORE SPOTS ROTATING INTO VIEW ON THE
EAST LIMB NEAR N17. IT IS POSSIBLE A SEPARATE REGION IS ROTATING ON
IMMEDIATELY BEHIND REGION 8395.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS FLARES ARE EXPECTED WITH A POSSIBILITY OF A
M-CLASS FLARE FROM THE MORE ACTIVE REGIONS IN THE EAST.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 NOV a 28 NOV
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 NOV 150 Previsto 26 NOV-28 NOV 155/160/165 Media de 90 Días 25 NOV 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 NOV 011/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 NOV 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 NOV-28 NOV 010/009-010/009-010/009
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 NOV a 28 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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