Viendo archivo del viernes, 20 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 324 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8391 (S17E34) PRODUCED
TODAY'S ONLY C-CLASS FLARE, A C2/SF AT 1524Z. THE REGION WAS GROWING
SLOWLY AND PRODUCED ADDITIONAL SUBFLARES. REGION 8384 (S28W62)
CONTINUES TO BE THE LARGEST SUNSPOT GROUP ON THE DISK BUT COULD ONLY
PRODUCE LOW LEVEL SUBFLARES DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED DURING THE
PAST 24 HOURS. THERE WAS AN INTERVAL OF ACTIVE LEVELS AT HIGH
LATITUDES DURING THE LAST 3 HOURS OF THE DAY.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND SHOULD BE
QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON THE 2ND AND 3RD DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 NOV a 23 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 NOV 122 Previsto 21 NOV-23 NOV 120/120/115 Media de 90 Días 20 NOV 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 NOV 006/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 NOV 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 NOV-23 NOV 010/010-005/010-005/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 NOV a 23 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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