Viendo archivo del martes, 10 noviembre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Nov 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 314 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 NOV 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED MODERATE. REGION 8375 (N22W88)
PRODUCED AN M1/SF AT 10/1544Z WITH AN ASSOCIATED LOOP PROMINENCE
SYSTEM. THIS REGION PRODUCED SEVERAL LOW TO MID C-CLASS EVENTS
DURING THE PERIOD. REGION 8384 (S27E63) WAS RELATIVELY QUIET BUT
EXHIBITED MIXED POLARITIES AND A POSSIBLE DELTA CONFIGURATION. A
PARTIAL HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS OBSERVED BY SOHO/LASCO OVER
THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE BEGINNING AT 09/1754Z. SEVERAL OTHER LARGE
MASS EJECTIONS WERE OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD FROM THE NORTHWEST
AND SOUTHEAST LIMBS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BE LOW TO
MODERATE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS. REGION 8375 SHOULD CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE FREQUENT C-CLASS AND OCCASIONAL M-CLASS EVENTS. X-CLASS
EVENTS FROM THIS REGION REMAIN POSSIBLE. ON 13 NOV, FLARE FREQUENCY
SHOULD DECREASE AS REGION 8375 ROTATES FAR BEYOND THE WEST LIMB.
REGION 8384 COULD BEGIN TO PRODUCE SMALL FLARES DUE TO ITS MAGNETIC
CONFIGURATION.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. BRIEF
ACTIVE CONDITIONS WERE OBSERVED AT HIGH LATITUDES EARLY IN THE
PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR 11-12 NOV. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS
ARE FORECAST FOR 13 NOV IN RESPONSE TO THE PARTIAL HALO MASS
EJECTION OBSERVED ON 09 NOV.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 NOV a 13 NOV
| Clase M | 70% | 30% | 20% |
| Clase X | 30% | 15% | 10% |
| Protón | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 NOV 154 Previsto 11 NOV-13 NOV 145/142/140 Media de 90 Días 10 NOV 133 (ESTIMATED)
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 NOV 030/078 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 NOV 006/009 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 NOV-13 NOV 008/010-010/010-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 NOV a 13 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 10% |
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
lunes, 22 abril 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
sábado, 23 marzo 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
miércoles, 20 marzo 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Últimos mensajes del foro
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 994ionosphere D detection 17CME 2024-MAY-01 south of AR3654 C5.8 5AR3663 17Minor glitch with utc timestamp 3
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
Mucha gente viene a SpaceWeatherLive para seguir la actividad del Sol o previsión de aurora, pero con esta cantidad de tráfico se incrementan los costos del servidor. ¡Considere hacer una donación si disfruta de SpaceWeatherLive para que podamos mantener el sitio web en línea!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Último evento clase M | 2024/05/02 | M1.0 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 2024/04/26 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 2022/06/08 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| abril 2024 | 136.5 +31.6 |
| Last 30 days | 146.6 +47.6 |