Viendo archivo del miércoles, 5 agosto 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Aug 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 217 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 AUG 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A SINGLE UNOBSERVED C-CLASS
EVENT OCCURRED AT 1615Z. REGION 8293 (S22E39) GREW IN WHITE LIGHT
AND H-ALPHA, AND IS THE DOMINANT REGION ON THE DISK. IT POSSESSES A
SLIGHT DEGREE OF MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY AND BRIGHT PLAGE. NEWLY
NUMBERED REGION 8296 (N16E70) ROTATED FULLY INTO VIEW AS A MATURE
SINGLE SPOT. THE LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. REGION 8293 COULD RAISE ACTIVITY LEVELS OVER THE NEXT THREE
DAYS IF ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OCCURS THERE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE
FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 AUG a 08 AUG
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 AUG 127 Previsto 06 AUG-08 AUG 130/130/135 Media de 90 Días 05 AUG 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 AUG 008/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 AUG-08 AUG 010/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 AUG a 08 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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