Viendo archivo del domingo, 2 agosto 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Aug 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 214 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 AUG 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW DUE TO A SINGLE UNCORRELATED C1
X-RAY EVENT AT 02/0513Z. THREE NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY, 8292
(N24E04), A SMALL B-TYPE GROUP, 8293 (S20E70), A SMALL D-TYPE
GROUP, AND 8294, A SMALL B-TYPE GROUP. THERE ARE CURRENTLY TEN
ACTIVE REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK, WITH A CUMULATIVE SUNSPOT COUNT
OF ONLY 16 TO 17.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED, WITH THE CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS, FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 AUG a 05 AUG
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 AUG 110 Previsto 03 AUG-05 AUG 108/108/106 Media de 90 Días 02 AUG 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 AUG 017/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 AUG 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 AUG-05 AUG 010/015-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 AUG a 05 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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