Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 203 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8280 (S21E64) PRODUCED
THREE C-CLASS FLARES IN THE LAST 24 HOURS, THE LARGEST OF WHICH WAS
A C6 AT 0503UT. THIS GROUP IS CLASSIFIED AS AN EKO BETA AND IS THE
LARGEST SUNSPOT REGION ON THE DISK WITH AN AREA OF 370 MILLIONTHS.
REGION 8279 (N27E19) HAS DEVELOPED PENUMBRA ON BOTH LEADER AND
TRAILER PORTIONS OF THE GROUP. REGION 8277 (S14W55) APPEARS TO HAVE
STOPPED ITS INITIAL GROWTH PHASE AND WAS STABLE. NEW REGION 8282
NEAR N23E70 ROTATED INTO VIEW TODAY. A 6 DEGREE FILAMENT NEAR S40W31
DISAPPEARED BETWEEN 1003Z AND 1028Z TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW,
BUT THERE IS A CONTINUED CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT FROM
REGION 8280, 8277, OR 8279.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS. THERE WERE SOME ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS SOME HIGH LATITUDE
STATIONS BETWEEN 14-18Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 JUL a 25 JUL
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 JUL 114 Previsto 23 JUL-25 JUL 115/115/112 Media de 90 Días 22 JUL 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 JUL 011/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JUL 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JUL-25 JUL 010/008-005/007-010/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 JUL a 25 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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