Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 julio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jul 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 190 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 JUL 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. TWO OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED
C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD. ONE WAS A C1 AT 08/2313UT
AND THE OTHER WAS A C2 AT 09/1117UT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH THE EXISTING CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED C-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS AFTER 09/1500UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS
FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 JUL a 12 JUL
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 JUL 114 Previsto 10 JUL-12 JUL 112/110/108 Media de 90 Días 09 JUL 107
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUL 003/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUL 008/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUL-12 JUL 005/005-005/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 JUL a 12 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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