Viendo archivo del lunes, 8 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 159 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST FLARE OF THE DAY
WAS A C5/2N FROM REGION 8232 (S22W03) AT 08/1556UT. THIS EVENT WAS
ACCOMPANIED BY MINOR RADIO EMISSIONS AND A PARTIAL HALO CME MOVING
SOUTH AND EAST. THE FILAMENT THAT DISAPPEARED NEAR S18W18 BEFORE
07/0358UT APPEARS TO BE SLOWLY REDEVELOPING. PORTIONS OF THE
FILAMENT NEAR N19W63 DISAPPEARED AFTER 07/1714UT. TWO BXO SPOT
GROUPS WERE NUMBERED TODAY, REGION 8238 (S19E06) IN THE TRAILING
SECTION OF REGION 8232 AND REGION 8239 (N21E59).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW,
ISOLATED C CLASS EVENTS ARE POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR MOST OF THE
PERIOD. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX EXCEEDED EVENT
THRESHOLDS AT 08/0836UT AND REMAINS ELEVATED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REACH ACTIVE EARLY IN THE PERIOD. THE FIELD SHOULD
RETURN TO GENERALLY UNSETTLED LEVELS BY THE END OF THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JUN a 11 JUN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JUN 117 Previsto 09 JUN-11 JUN 117/117/116 Media de 90 Días 08 JUN 110
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUN 019/018 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUN 012/013 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUN-11 JUN 018/018-012/015-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JUN a 11 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 06% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 06% | 06% | 01% |
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