Viendo archivo del martes, 2 junio 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jun 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 153 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 JUN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. ONLY SMALL B-CLASS
ENHANCEMENTS WERE OBSERVED. REGION 8230 (S19E24) GREW AT A MODERATE
PACE. NEW REGION 8232 (S19E74) ROTATED ONTO THE DISK. A MODERATE
SIZE CLASS H SPOT WAS VISIBLE HERE AND TRAILER SPOTS MAY FOLLOW.
THIS REGION IS THE RETURN OF OLD REGION 8213 THAT PRODUCED SEVERAL
C-CLASS FLARES AND ONE M-CLASS FLARE LAST ROTATION. A LARGE
PROMINENCE NEAR SW50 ERUPTED SHORTLY BEFORE 02/1500Z AND CREATED A
LARGE AND DENSE CORONAL MASS EJECTION THAT APPEARED TO PROPAGATE
SLIGHTLY OUT OF THE ECLIPTIC PLANE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD BECOME LOW.
REGION 8230 SHOULD BEGIN TO PRODUCE ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS DURING
THIS GROWTH PHASE. NEW REGION 8232 IS EXPECTED TO GENERATE
OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE.
LIMB PROXIMITY OF THIS REGION HINDERS ACCURATE ANALYSIS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC ELECTRON
FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT BEGAN THE PERIOD AT HIGH LEVELS BUT
DECREASED QUICKLY TO MODERATE LEVELS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 JUN a 05 JUN
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 JUN 105 Previsto 03 JUN-05 JUN 108/112/114 Media de 90 Días 02 JUN 108
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 JUN 004/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 JUN 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 JUN-05 JUN 007/008-007/008-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 JUN a 05 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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