Viendo archivo del jueves, 2 abril 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Apr 02 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 092 Publicado el 2200Z a las 02 APR 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 01-2100Z hasta 02-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. TODAY'S ACTIVITY CONSISTED OF
OCCASIONAL C-CLASS FLARES; THE LARGEST WAS A C2/SF FROM REGION 8190
(S19E10). THIS GROUP IS NO LONGER GROWING RAPIDLY, BUT THERE DOES
APPEAR TO BE A SMALL DELTA CONFIGURATION NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
REGION ASSOCIATED WITH RELATIVELY BRIGHT LOOPS IN THE CORONA. NEW
REGION NUMBER 8192 (S30W55) WAS ASSIGNED AND IS A SIMPLE A-TYPE
GROUP.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
THERE CONTINUES, HOWEVER, TO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED
M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 01-2100Z a 02-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 03 APR a 05 APR
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 02 APR 103 Previsto 03 APR-05 APR 100/098/105 Media de 90 Días 02 APR 099
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 APR 002/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 APR 002/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 APR-05 APR 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 03 APR a 05 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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