Viendo archivo del martes, 10 febrero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Feb 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 041 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 FEB 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. A SINGLE OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED B-CLASS X-RAY BURST OCCURRED. A PARTIAL-HALO CORONAL
MASS EJECTION (CME) WAS SEEN DEPARTING THE EAST LIMB BEGINNING
10/0155UT. THE CME APPEARED TO BE MOSTLY EASTWARDLY-DIRECTED AND WAS
SLIGHTLY INCLINED TO THE ECLIPTIC. THERE WAS NO OBVIOUS SOURCE FOR
THE CME EVENT. NEW REGIONS 8155 (S14E04) AND 8156 (S24E70) WERE
NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW. THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 FEB a 13 FEB
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 FEB 084 Previsto 11 FEB-13 FEB 084/084/084 Media de 90 Días 10 FEB 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 FEB 007/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 FEB 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 FEB-13 FEB 007/005-007/005-007/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 FEB a 13 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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