Viendo archivo del miércoles, 4 febrero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Feb 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 035 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 FEB 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. AN OPTICALLY-UNCORRELATED
B6 X-RAY FLARE OCCURRED AT 04/1751UT. A CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME)
WAS SEEN DEPARTING THE WEST LIMB AROUND THE TIME OF THE FLARE. THE
CME DID NOT APPEAR TO BE EARTH-DIRECTED. THERE WERE TWO SMALL,
STABLE SUNSPOT REGIONS PRESENT ON THE DISK. NO NEW REGIONS WERE
ASSIGNED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS DURING
04/0000 - 0600UT. THE ACTIVE LEVELS WERE BRIEF AND CONFINED TO THE
UPPER MIDDLE AND HIGH LATITUDES. OTHERWISE, THE FIELD WAS AT MOSTLY
QUIET LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 FEB a 07 FEB
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 FEB 089 Previsto 05 FEB-07 FEB 090/090/090 Media de 90 Días 04 FEB 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 FEB 004/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 FEB 008/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 FEB-07 FEB 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 FEB a 07 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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