Viendo archivo del sábado, 31 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 031 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED, AS THE
VISIBLE DISK REMAINS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET UNTIL AN ISOLATED DISTURBANCE HIT AT
APPROXIMATELY 31/1530Z, CAUSING ACTIVITY TO INCREASE TO UNSETTLED
(31/1500-1800Z) AND THEN ACTIVE (31/1800-2100Z). THIS DISTURBANCE
COINCIDED WITH AN ABRUPT RISE IN THE SOLAR WIND VELOCITY
(~350 TO 450 KM/S) AND DENSITY (~5-23 P/CC). THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS ABOVE THE HIGH THRESHOLD FOR APPROXIMATELY ONE
HALF HOUR STARTING AT 31/1801Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 FEB a 03 FEB
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 JAN 089 Previsto 01 FEB-03 FEB 087/087/087 Media de 90 Días 31 JAN 097
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 JAN 012/019 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 JAN 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 FEB-03 FEB 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 FEB a 03 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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