Viendo archivo del domingo, 18 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 018 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8136 (N16W51)
PRODUCED A B3/SF AT 18/1153Z. THE REMAINING ACTIVITY WAS LIMITED TO
OCCASIONAL OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED B-CLASS FLARES. REGION 8131
(S23W74) CONTINUES TO DECAY AS IT NEARS THE WEST LIMB. IT IS NOW A
FIVE SPOT CAO GROUP MEASURING 180 MILLIONTHS IN WHITE LIGHT AREA.
THE REMAINING REGIONS HAVE BEEN QUIET. SPACE-BASED CORONAGRAPH
IMAGERY INDICATED A HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME) OCCURRED NEAR
THE EAST LIMB AROUND 17/0600Z. THE MATERIAL APPEARS TO BE FLOWING
FROM BEHIND THE LIMB THUS MOSTLY EASTWARD DIRECTED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET UNTIL AROUND 18/0700Z WHEN PERIODS OF
UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED. NORTHERN LATITUDES
EXPERIENCED PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING. THE DISTURBANCE ENDED AT
ABOUT 18/1600Z AND CONDITIONS HAVE BEEN QUIET SINCE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 JAN a 21 JAN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 JAN 095 Previsto 19 JAN-21 JAN 095/096/097 Media de 90 Días 18 JAN 096
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 17 JAN 004/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 18 JAN 010/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 19 JAN-21 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 JAN a 21 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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