Viendo archivo del domingo, 11 enero 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Jan 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 011 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 JAN 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ISOLATED B-CLASS X-RAY
FLARES OCCURRED. A NEW REGION EMERGED JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF
REGION 8131 (S24E10) AND WAS NUMBERED AS 8132 (S18E03). BOTH REGIONS
WERE STABLE DURING THE PERIOD. NEW REGIONS 8133 (N04E24) AND 8134
(N15E73) WERE ALSO NUMBERED. SPACE-BASED CORONAGRAPH IMAGERY
INDICATED A CORONAL MASS EJECTION (CME) DEPARTED THE WEST LIMB
AROUND 10/2200UT. THE CME WAS SLIGHTLY INCLINED TO THE ECLIPTIC AND
APPEARED TO BE MOSTLY WESTWARD DIRECTED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. REGIONS 8131 AND 8132 MAY PRODUCE ISOLATED C-CLASS
FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET WITH ISOLATED UNSETTLED
PERIODS OBSERVED AT MIDDLE AND HIGH LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2
MEV ELECTRON FLUX DECLINED TO MODERATE LEVELS EARLY IN THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO DECLINE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 JAN a 14 JAN
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 JAN 085 Previsto 12 JAN-14 JAN 086/086/086 Media de 90 Días 11 JAN 095
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 JAN 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 JAN 007/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 JAN-14 JAN 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 JAN a 14 JAN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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