Viendo archivo del sábado, 27 diciembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Dec 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 361 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 DEC 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A LOW LEVEL. REGION 8124
(S21W11) PRODUCED A C3/1F AT 27/1638Z. THIS REGION WAS PREDOMINANTLY
STABLE DURING THE PERIOD. SOME MIXED POLARITIES REMAINED AND A WEAK
DELTA CONFIGURATION MAY EXIST IN THE CENTER OF THE REGION. AN
ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE WAS OBSERVED BETWEEN 26/2352Z-27/0116Z FROM
N35W90. THE MATERIAL REACHED 0.19 RADIUS ABOVE THE LIMB BEFORE
FADING. A SMALL REGION EMERGED NEAR N28W53 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW
REGION 8128.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
GENERALLY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. REGION 8124 SHOULD
PRODUCE OCCASIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS. AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE IS
POSSIBLE FROM THIS REGION.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD
REMAIN QUIET FOR 28-29 DEC. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 20
DEC IN RESPONSE TO A PARTIAL HALO CORONAL MASS EJECTION OBSERVED ON
26 DEC.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 DEC a 30 DEC
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 DEC 096 Previsto 28 DEC-30 DEC 097/098/098 Media de 90 Días 27 DEC 094
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 DEC 002/001 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 DEC 001/002 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 DEC-30 DEC 005/004-005/005-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 DEC a 30 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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