Viendo archivo del jueves, 30 octubre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Oct 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 303 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 OCT 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. FLARES WERE MORE FREQUENT
DURING THE PERIOD, BUT NONE EXCEEDED B-CLASS. REGION 8100 (S19E30)
HAD THE BRUNT OF THE ACTIVITY AS IT GREW IN WHITE LIGHT AND H-ALPHA.
REGION 8099 (N20W03) IS LESS IMPRESSIVE IN H-ALPHA, BUT MORE
MAGNETICALLY COMPLEX THAN 8100. THE LIMBS WERE QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
REGION 8100 SHOULD BEGIN TO GENERATE C-CLASS ACTIVITY IF ITS GROWTH
CONTINUES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED, ALTHOUGH WEAK
SUBSTORMS AGAIN BROUGHT SHORT-LIVED ACTIVE CONDITIONS TO HIGH
LATITUDES. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS
ORBIT REACHED HIGH LEVELS JUST AFTER 1200Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS THROUGH 02 NOV.
WEAK SUBSTORMS MAY OCCUR DURING LOCAL NIGHTTIMES.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 OCT a 02 NOV
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 OCT 088 Previsto 31 OCT-02 NOV 090/090/095 Media de 90 Días 30 OCT 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 OCT 008/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 OCT 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 OCT-02 NOV 010/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 OCT a 02 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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