Viendo archivo del jueves, 25 septiembre 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Sep 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 SEP 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8088 (S28W02) PRODUCED A
C7/1N FLARE AT 25/1149Z WITH MINOR RADIO BURSTS. THE GROWTH IN THIS
REGION IS ABATING WITH ONLY A 10 PERCENT INCREASE OBSERVED DURING
THE PERIOD. MIXED MAGNETIC POLARITIES EXIST IN THE LEADER AND
TRAILER OF THIS REGION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE
PRIMARILY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. AN ISOLATED M-CLASS EVENT
FROM REGION 8088 IS POSSIBLE DURING THE PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET UNTIL LATE ON 26 SEP WHEN A DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN.
ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS SHOULD BE EXPERIENCED ON 27-28 SEP
IN RESPONSE TO CORONAL MASS EJECTIONS OBSERVED ON 23-24 SEP.
ISOLATED PERIODS OF MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT
TIME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 SEP a 28 SEP
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 SEP 089 Previsto 26 SEP-28 SEP 089/088/089 Media de 90 Días 25 SEP 081
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 SEP 005/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 SEP 003/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 SEP-28 SEP 018/018-040/040-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 SEP a 28 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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