Viendo archivo del sábado, 30 agosto 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Aug 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 242 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 AUG 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8076 (N28W01)
PRODUCED AN M1/0F TENFLARE AT 29/ 2332Z. SMALL DISCRETE RADIO BURSTS
WERE REPORTED, AMONG THEM 200 SFU AT 245 MHZ, AND 130 SFU AT 2695
MHZ. NO RADIO SWEEP EVENTS OCCURRED. THE REGION ALSO HAD A C1/0F AT
1125Z, BUT HAS BEEN RELATIVELY QUIET WHILE SHOWING DECAY IN WHITE
LIGHT SINCE THEN. ONE NEW REGION WAS BORN ON THE DISK, 8080
(N18W31).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ADDITIONAL C-CLASS FLARES SHOULD COME FROM REGION 8076, BUT MORE
M-CLASS EVENTS ARE UNLIKELY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. WEAK SUBSTORMS
WERE SEEN AT SOME SITES, ACCOMPANIED BY SHORT-LIVED ACTIVE
CONDITIONS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS
ORBIT ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE LATTER PART OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SUBSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH
IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 AUG a 02 SEP
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 AUG 092 Previsto 31 AUG-02 SEP 092/092/090 Media de 90 Días 30 AUG 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 AUG 015/015 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 AUG 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 AUG-02 SEP 010/010-005/008-005/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 AUG a 02 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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