Viendo archivo del martes, 26 agosto 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Aug 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 238 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 AUG 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8076 (N30E51), STILL
GROWING, PRODUCTED TWO C4/SF FLARES IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. REGION
8077 (S22E45), STABILIZED AND HAS BEEN QUIET. THE REMAINDER OF THE
VISIBLE DISK WAS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
LOW. REGION 8076 HAS GOOD POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL C-CLASS EVENTS
AND AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
DAYS TWO AND THREE MAY SHOW ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE LEVELS,
ESPECIALLY AT HIGH LATITUDES, AS A WEAK POLAR CORONAL HOLE
EXTENSION MOVES INTO A FAVORABLE POSITION.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 AUG a 29 AUG
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 AUG 084 Previsto 27 AUG-29 AUG 086/086/086 Media de 90 Días 26 AUG 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 AUG 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 AUG 003/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 AUG-29 AUG 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 AUG a 29 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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