Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 julio 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Jul 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 207 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 JUL 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. ONLY A FEW B-CLASS EVENTS
WERE OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD. REGION 8065 (N17W70) HAS BECOME
STABLE IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GROUP'S MAGNETIC STRUCTURE HAS
SIMPLIFIED SIGNIFICANTLY AND IT NOW SHOWS A SIMPLE BETA
CONFIGURATION.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENT OVER THE NEXT
THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN INCREASE
IS EXPECTED SOMETIME BETWEEN LATE TOMORROW AND EARLY ON DAY THREE
DUE TO EFFECTS FROM A POSSIBLE TRANSIENT ASSOCIATED WITH YESTERDAY'S
LONG DURATION X-RAY EVENT. IN ADDITION TO THIS, THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY FOR EFFECTS FROM A CORONAL HOLE BEGINNING ON THE THIRD
DAY. MOSTLY UNSETTLED LEVELS (BUT WITH POSSIBILITY FOR ACTIVE
PERIODS) ARE EXPECTED ON DAY 2 AND UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS ARE
FORECAST FOR DAY THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 JUL a 29 JUL
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 JUL 077 Previsto 27 JUL-29 JUL 075/075/072 Media de 90 Días 26 JUL 073
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 JUL 008/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JUL 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JUL-29 JUL 010/008-015/012-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 JUL a 29 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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