Viendo archivo del sábado, 3 mayo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 May 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 123 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 MAY 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL REGION
EMERGED NEAR S26W30 AND WAS NUMBERED AS REGION 8037.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOME HIGH LATITUDE
SITES EXPERIENCED ISOLATED ACTIVE CONDITIONS. SOLAR WIND DATA SHOW A
MODERATELY HIGH VELOCITY, LOW DENSITY STREAM IN THE EARTH'S
VICINITY. THIS STREAM IS ROOTED IN NEGATIVE FIELDS ON THE SUN
IMPLYING THAT THE SOUTHERN CORONAL HOLE IS THE LIKELY SOURCE.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT AGAIN REACHED HIGH
LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED. ISOLATED ACTIVE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE FOR 04-05 MAY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 MAY a 06 MAY
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 MAY 071 Previsto 04 MAY-06 MAY 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 03 MAY 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 MAY 017/016 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 MAY 010/012 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 MAY-06 MAY 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 MAY a 06 MAY
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
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