Viendo archivo del sábado, 12 abril 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Apr 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 102 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 APR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A REGION EMERGED AT A
MODERATE PACE NEAR S30W36 AND WAS NUMBERED AS NEW REGION 8031.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT A VERY
LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. IF GROWTH CONTINUES IN NEW REGION
8031, IT COULD PRODUCE AN ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE FIRST PART OF
THE PERIOD. AFTER 12/0300Z THE FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO
UNSETTLED. RECENT SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE THE MAGNETIC CLOUD HAS
PASSED THE EARTH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. PREVIOUS
FORECASTS OF A CORONAL HOLE RELATED DISTURBANCE DURING THIS PERIOD
ARE NOT WARRANTED BASED UPON RECENT CORONAL HOLE IMAGERY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 APR a 15 APR
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 APR 076 Previsto 13 APR-15 APR 077/078/076 Media de 90 Días 12 APR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 APR 032/038 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 APR 011/011 PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 APR-15 APR 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 APR a 15 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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