Viendo archivo del jueves, 3 abril 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Apr 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 093 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 APR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A LONG DURATION C1 X-RAY EVENT
AT 03/1327Z OCCURRED WHICH WAS NOT OPTICALLY CORRELATED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
M-CLASS EVENTS FROM REGION 8026.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN MOSTLY QUIET WITH AN ISOLATED PERIOD
OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS FROM 03/0300-0600Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRONS REACHED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE
FORECAST WITH UNSETTLED CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE LAST DAY. THIS
ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED IN RESPONSE TO THE CME OBSERVED ON 01 APRIL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 APR a 06 APR
| Clase M | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 APR 079 Previsto 04 APR-06 APR 079/079/078 Media de 90 Días 03 APR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 APR 009/007 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 APR 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 APR-06 APR 025/015-025/015-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 APR a 06 APR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 60% | 60% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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