Viendo archivo del jueves, 27 marzo 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Mar 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 086 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 MAR 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1 X-RAY EVENT OCCURRED AT
1035Z. ALTHOUGH THERE WERE NO TIME-COINCIDENT OBSERVATIONS AVAILABLE
TO PINPOINT THE SOURCE, A LIKELY CANDIDATE IS NEW REGION 8026
(S26E73). THIS REGION ROTATED INTO VIEW TODAY AS A SMALL BUT ACTIVE
BXO BETA SUNSPOT GROUP, AND WAS OBSERVED TO PRODUCE OCCASIONAL
SUBFLARE ACTIVITY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY FOR AN ADDITIONAL C-CLASS
EVENT FROM REGION 8026 OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE FROM 26/2100 THROUGH
27/0100Z, BUT BECAME REMARKABLY QUIET AFTER 27/0100Z. QUIET
CONDITIONS PREVAILED FROM 27/0100-27/2100Z WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
SOME VERY BRIEF UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVEL CONDITIONS AT A FEW HIGH
LATITUDE SITES BETWEEN 0700-1200Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON
FLUXES ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS (GREATER THAN 1000 PFU) DURING THE
REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 MAR a 30 MAR
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 MAR 072 Previsto 28 MAR-30 MAR 073/074/075 Media de 90 Días 27 MAR 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 26 MAR 014/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 27 MAR 006/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 28 MAR-30 MAR 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 MAR a 30 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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