Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 febrero 1997
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1997 Feb 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 FEB 1997IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO SIGNIFICANT
FLARES.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET TO MAJOR STORM LEVELS FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS. MAJOR STORMING OCCURRED BETWEEN 08/1200 AND 08/1500Z.
SPACE BASED SOLAR WIND DATA INCDATE A HIGH SPEED, LOW DENSITY STREAM
AT THAT TIME.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. MID
LATITUDE ACTIVE LEVELS AND HIGH LATITUDE ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM
LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON DAY THREE OF THE FORECAST PERIOD IN RESPONSE
TO THE LARGE CME OBSERVED EARLY 7 FEBRUARY. HIGH LATITUDE STATIONS
MAY SEE OCCASSIONAL PERIODS OF MAJOR STORMING DURING THAT TIME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 FEB a 11 FEB
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 FEB 075 Previsto 09 FEB-11 FEB 076/076/074 Media de 90 Días 08 FEB 078
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 FEB 003/003 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 FEB 014/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 FEB-11 FEB 010/012-010/010-025/027
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 FEB a 11 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 25% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 30% |
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