Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 334 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY BECAME MODERATE. REGION 7999
(S04W47) PRODUCED AN M1/1F FLARE AT 29/2044Z. MINOR CENTIMETRIC
RADIO BURSTS ACCOMPANIED THE EVENT. DURING THE PERIOD, REGION
7999 EXHIBITED SLOW SUNSPOT DECAY AND SLIGHT PROPER MOTION OF
A SOUTHERN TRAILER SPOT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO
BE PREDOMINANTLY LOW WITH AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE POSSIBLE
FROM REGION 7999. IT IS NOT LIKELY THE M-CLASS FLARE
MENTIONED ABOVE IS THE BEGINNING OF AN INCREASE IN FLARE
ACTIVITY FROM REGION 7999 BECAUSE OF GENERAL DECAY IN THE
REGION. THE M1 FLARE IS MORE LIKELY A RESULT OF SUNSPOT
PROPER MOTION AND REALIGNMENT OF THE OVERLYING FIELDS.
THE PROPER MOTION OCCURRED AT THE SOUTHERNMOST PART OF THE
REGION SO THIS PHENOMENON IS NOT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. SOLAR WIND VELOCITIES
DROPPED BELOW 400 KM/S DURING THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 NOV a 02 DEC
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 NOV 091 Previsto 30 NOV-02 DEC 090/088/085 Media de 90 Días 29 NOV 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 NOV 006/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 NOV 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 NOV-02 DEC 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 NOV a 02 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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