Viendo archivo del sábado, 16 noviembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Nov 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 321 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 NOV 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
TWO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY, 7997 (N08E50), A THREE
SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP, AND 7998 (S14E46), A TWO SPOT 'AXX'
ALPHA GROUP. WITH THESE TWO NEW REGIONS, THERE ARE CURRENTLY
FOUR ACTIVE REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK. YESTERDAY'S
CARRYOVER REGIONS, 7995 (S00E05) AND 7996 (N31E05), ARE BOTH
STABLE AS TWO SPOT 'AXX' ALPHA GROUPS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE PERIOD OF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS RECORDED AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL
16/0600-0900Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH
ACTIVITY INCREASING TO UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE ON DAYS TWO AND
THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 NOV a 19 NOV
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 NOV 074 Previsto 17 NOV-19 NOV 074/074/074 Media de 90 Días 16 NOV 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 NOV 013/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 NOV 006/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 NOV-19 NOV 010/010-015/020-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 NOV a 19 NOV
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 05% |
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