Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 octubre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Oct 25 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 299 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 OCT 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
NEW REGION 7991, A THREE SPOT 'BXO' NEW CYCLE (POSITIVE LEADER /
NEGATIVE TRAILER) GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE PERIOD OF ACTIVE
CONDITIONS RECORDED AT HIGH LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL
25/0600-0900Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS
MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH
AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR STORMING ON
DAYS ONE AND TWO, DUE TO A FAVORABLY POSITIONED CORONAL HOLE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 OCT a 28 OCT
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 25 OCT 070 Previsto 26 OCT-28 OCT 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 25 OCT 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 24 OCT 010/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 OCT 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 OCT-28 OCT 020/025-015/015-015/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 OCT a 28 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
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