Viendo archivo del domingo, 22 septiembre 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Sep 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 SEP 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK REMAINED
SPOTLESS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED BETWEEN QUIET AND MINOR STORM
LEVELS. THE MOST DISTURBED PERIOD WAS BETWEEN 22/0600-0900Z.
SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE A CORONAL HOLE STREAM REMAINS IN
THE VICINITY OF THE EARTH. THE NORTHERN POLAR HOLE IS THE
PROBABLE SOURCE OF THIS STREAM THAT BEGAN AROUND 10 SEP.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ALTITUDE WERE
PREDOMINANTLY HIGH AND APPROACHED VERY HIGH LEVELS DURING
THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD
IS EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE
NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED MINOR STORMING IS POSSIBLE DURING
THAT TIME. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD ALSO REMAIN
ELEVATED DURING THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 SEP a 25 SEP
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 SEP 069 Previsto 23 SEP-25 SEP 069/069/069 Media de 90 Días 22 SEP 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 SEP 024/024 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 SEP 021/020 PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 SEP-25 SEP 018/015-018/015-020/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 SEP a 25 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 15% |
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