Viendo archivo del sábado, 31 agosto 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Aug 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 244 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 AUG 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7986
(S13W26) PRODUCED A B5/SF AT 31/1547Z AND A LONG DURATION B8/SF
AT 31/1839Z. A SMALL REGION EMERGED NEAR N18E47 AND WAS NUMBERED
AS NEW REGION 7987.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT
A VERY LOW LEVEL. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS
FLARE FROM REGION 7986.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS.
THE ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED BETWEEN 31/0600-1200Z.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT CONTINUED
AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS. RECENT SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE
THE CORONAL HOLE RELATED DISTURBANCE IS BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT
THREE DAYS. OCCASIONAL ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING
LOCAL NIGHTTIME ON 01-02 SEP.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 SEP a 03 SEP
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 AUG 076 Previsto 01 SEP-03 SEP 073/072/072 Media de 90 Días 31 AUG 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 AUG 017/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 AUG 013/013 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 SEP-03 SEP 010/010-010/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 SEP a 03 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 01% |
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