Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 junio 1996
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1996 Jun 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 160 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 JUN 1996IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7968 (N03W29)
CONTINUES TO BE THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
THE REGION PRODUCED NO FLARES DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS WHILE
DEVELOPING INTO A 'DAO' GROUP WITH APPROXIMATELY 19 SPOTS.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. REGION 7968 APPEARS TO HAVE STABILIZED AT THE
PRESENT TIME, BUT IS STILL THOUGHT TO HAVE A 50% CHANCE OF
PRODUCING A C-CLASS EVENT AND 10% CHANCE OF PRODUCING AN
M-CLASS EVENT DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED
ACTIVITY OCCURING AT ALL LATITUDES DURING THE INTERVAL
08/0900-1200.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS,
WITH THE LIKELIHOOD OF ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS
INCREASING ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 JUN a 11 JUN
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 JUN 070 Previsto 09 JUN-11 JUN 072/071/070 Media de 90 Días 08 JUN 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JUN 004/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JUN 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JUN-11 JUN 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 JUN a 11 JUN
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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