Viewing archive of Friday, 5 March 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 05 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 064 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Mar 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Todays flare activity
consisted of just a few, low-level B-class events. Regions 1052
(S16W82) and 1053 (S22W89) appeared to be quieter today as they
approached the west limb. A small, slow CME was observed on the west
limb at about 05/0054Z and was associated with a weak wave in
STEREO-A EUVI imagery. The wave appeared to originate near Region
1051 (N16W53).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (06-08 March).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (06-08 March).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Mar to 08 Mar
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Mar 080 Predicted 06 Mar-08 Mar 080/080/080 90 Day Mean 05 Mar 081
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Mar 004/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Mar 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Mar to 08 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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