Viewing archive of tisdag, 8 maj 2012
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2012 May 08 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 129 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 08 May 2012IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1476 (N11E35) is the most complex region on the
visible disk, has grown to become a Fkc/beta-gamma-delta
configuration, and has an area of approximately 940 Millionths. It
also produced the largest flare, a M1/1f at 08/1308Z, as well as
several C-class flares. COR2 imagery from the STEREO-A spacecraft
indicated two weak Earth-directed CMEs that are not expected to have
significant impacts upon arrival.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be at
low to moderate levels for the next three days (09 - 11 May).
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 07-2100Z till 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (09 May). Day two (10
May) is expected to be at quiet to active levels with a chance for
minor storm periods due to the effects of the Coronal Hole High
Speed Stream (CH HSS) and the anticipated arrival of the CME that
departed the solar disk on 07 May. Day three (11 May) is expected
to return to quiet to unsettled levels as the effects of the CH HSS
begin to wane.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 09 May till 11 May
| M-klass | 65% | 65% | 65% |
| X-klass | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 08 May 123 Prognoserat 09 May-11 May 120/115/115 90 Day Mean 08 May 112
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 07 May 004/003 Förväntat Afr/Ap 08 May 006/007 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 09 May-11 May 009/012-015/018-013/015
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 09 May till 11 May
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 35% | 25% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 10% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 40% | 50% | 35% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
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