Viewing archive of lördag, 6 augusti 2011

Solaktivitetsrapport

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2011 Aug 06 2200 UTC
Skapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com

USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet

SDF Nummer 218 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 06 Aug 2011

IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest event of the period was a C4/Sf flare from Region 1267 (S17E13). This region developed a small delta in the central spot. Region 1263, an Ekc spot class with a Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration, lost some penumbral area in its central spots, however it developed new spots as flux began to emerge from its trailer area. SOHO/LASCO C2 imagery observed two slow moving CMEs at 1036Z and 1736Z with the majority of the ejecta directed off the West limb. SDO and SXI imagery showed filament eruptions associated with the events. These CMEs are not expected to be geoeffective.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low with the continued chance for an M-class flare from Region 1263.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 05-2100Z till 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to severe storm levels. Minor to severe storm periods were seen from 05/2100Z to 06/0600Z. The period started off with solar wind speeds reaching approximately 620 km/s with a total field strength around 28 nT. The Bz component of the magnetic field was south around -20 nT for 2 hours before crossing into a positive region at approximately 05/2211Z. Solar wind speed, density, and total magnetic field strength slowly decreased throughout the period as the effects of the CME passage began to diminish. The period ended with a wind speed around 440 km/s and Bt around 5 nT. The greater than 10 MeV protons above 10 PFU event that began at 04/0635Z, reached a peak flux of 96 PFU at 05/2150Z, and ended at 06/0515Z.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to active on 07 August as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream is expected to become geoeffective. Levels are expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled on 08 August. Mostly quiet conditions are expected on 09 August.
III. Chans för solutbrott från 07 Aug till 09 Aug
M-klass45%45%35%
X-klass10%10%05%
Proton10%10%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observerad       06 Aug 110
  Prognoserat   07 Aug-09 Aug  105/100/095
  90 Day Mean        06 Aug 096
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
  Observerad Afr/Ap 05 Aug  032/049
  Förväntat     Afr/Ap 06 Aug  018/033
  Prognoserat    Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  015/015-008/010-005/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 07 Aug till 09 Aug
A. Medelhöga breddgrader
Aktivt25%10%05%
Små stormförhållanden15%05%01%
Svåra stormförhållanden05%01%01%
B. Höga breddgrader
Aktivt25%15%05%
Små stormförhållanden20%05%01%
Svåra stormförhållanden15%01%01%

Gå till översikt idag

Senaste nytt

Stöd SpaceWeatherLive.com!

För att vara tillgängliga vid stora norrskensutbrott måsta vi ha kraftiga servrar som kan hantera alla besökare. Donera och stöd vårt projekt, så att vi kan finnas online även under stora stormar!

54%
Support SpaceWeatherLive with our merchandise
Check out our merchandise

Rymdvädersfakta

Senaste X-utbrottet2024/05/03X1.6
Senaste M-utbrottet2024/05/03M2.7
Senaste geomagnetiska stormen2024/05/02Kp7- (G3)
Fläckfria dagar
Senaste dag utan solfläckar2022/06/08
Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar
april 2024136.5 +31.6
Last 30 days149.4 +51.8

I dag i historien*

Solutbrott
12024X1.6
22022X1.1
32013M8.19
42023M7.2
51999M6.41
ApG
1197697G4
2198640G3
3196787G3
4197883G3
5195256G3
*sedan 1994

Sociala medier