Viewing archive of torsdag, 24 mars 2011
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2011 Mar 24 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 083 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 24 Mar 2011IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 23-2100Z till 24-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1176 (S16E44)
produced an isolated impulsive M1/1F flare at 24/1207Z associated
with minor radio emission and a partial-halo CME (estimated
plane-of-sky velocity 421 km/s). It also produced occasional B- and
C-class flares during the period. Region 1176 showed a minor
increase in intermediate spots and was classified as an Eki with a
moderately complex beta-gamma magnetic configuration. New Regions
1178 (S13E68) and 1179 (N09W32) were numbered. Both were small and
magnetically simple sunspot groups.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
during the period (25 - 27 March) with a chance for
another M-class flare from Region 1176.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 23-2100Z till 24-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. ACE solar wind data
indicated Earth remained under the influence of a coronal hole
high-speed wind stream. Solar wind velocities were variable in the
419 to 500 km/s range. IMF Bz was northward during most of the
period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period (25 - 27
March).
III. Chans för solutbrott från 25 Mar till 27 Mar
| M-klass | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 24 Mar 108 Prognoserat 25 Mar-27 Mar 110/115/120 90 Day Mean 24 Mar 095
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 23 Mar 009/010 Förväntat Afr/Ap 24 Mar 003/005 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 25 Mar-27 Mar 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 25 Mar till 27 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
Senaste nytt
måndag, 22 april 2024
Lot's of sunspots! Big chance for major flare activity?
lördag, 23 mars 2024
X1.1 solar flare with earth-directed CME
onsdag, 20 mars 2024
Sunspot region 3615, G1 watch
Senaste inläggen
AR3654 33Unproven theories 354Incoming Active Regions 231Growth of Cycle 25 435Unspecified geomagnetic activity 954
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Rymdvädersfakta
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