Viewing archive of lördag, 5 mars 2011
Solaktivitetsrapport
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet 2011 Mar 05 2200 UTCSkapad av NOAA © SWPC och bearbetad av SpaceWeatherLive.com
USAF/NOAA rapport för sol- och geofysisk aktivitet
SDF Nummer 064 publicerat klockan 2200Z på 05 Mar 2011IA. Analys av solfläcksgrupper och solaktivitet från 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1163 (N17W51), 1164
(N24W34) and Region 1165 (S21W52) produced several low level C-class
flares during the last 24 hours. Region 1164 and 1166 (N10E41) have
both continued to grow in white light areal coverage and spot count.
Region 1164 is a Fkc type spot group and has maintained its
Beta-Gamma-Delta magnetic configuration. Region 1166 is a Eki type
spot group and has formed a Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration.
IB. Prognos för solaktivitet
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an M-class event.
IIA. Sammanfattning av geofysisk aktivitet 04-2100Z till 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled. Observations from
the ACE spacecraft indicate very little influence is left from the
coronal hole high speed stream which has dominated for the past five
days. Solar wind speeds are now averaging below 500 km/s. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
levels throughout the period.
IIB. Prognos för geofysisk aktivitet
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels with isolated periods of
active conditions, and a slight chance for minor storm periods at
high latitudes, for the next two days (06-07 March). The activity
is expected due to the possible arrival of the CME observed on 03
March. Predominately quiet conditions are expected to return on day
three (08 March).
III. Chans för solutbrott från 06 Mar till 08 Mar
| M-klass | 45% | 45% | 45% |
| X-klass | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observerad 05 Mar 135 Prognoserat 06 Mar-08 Mar 130/130/130 90 Day Mean 05 Mar 089
V. Geomagnetiskt A-index
Observerad Afr/Ap 04 Mar 007/010 Förväntat Afr/Ap 05 Mar 004/005 Prognoserat Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Chanser för geomagnetisk aktivitet från 06 Mar till 08 Mar
| A. Medelhöga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 20% | 20% | 05% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Höga breddgrader | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Aktivt | 30% | 30% | 05% |
| Små stormförhållanden | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Svåra stormförhållanden | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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Rymdvädersfakta
| Senaste X-utbrottet | 2024/03/28 | X1.1 |
| Senaste M-utbrottet | 2024/04/25 | M1.3 |
| Senaste geomagnetiska stormen | 2024/04/26 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Fläckfria dagar | |
|---|---|
| Senaste dag utan solfläckar | 2022/06/08 |
| Månadsvis faktiskt antal solfläckar | |
|---|---|
| mars 2024 | 104.9 -19.8 |
| Last 30 days | 136.8 +28.6 |